Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Volkov UFC Fight Night 127 Fight Analysis
Alexander Volkov will be taking a huge step up in competition when he faces off with former UFC Heavyweight Champion Fabricio Werdum on March 17th at UFC Fight Night 127. The 6’7 Russian has looked impressive inside the Octagon so far. He’s 3-0 inside the UFC and has wins over Roy Nelson and Stefan Struve in his last two fights. Currently ranked #8, if Volkov can pull off the upset over the #3 ranked UFC Heavyweight, he could put himself very close to a title shot.
Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Volkov
The interesting part of this match is Alexander Volkov matches up with Fabricio Werdum very well. He has good stand-up, he’s long and rangy, and he’s very active with his strikes. In his last two fights, he’s landed 122 strikes and 135 strikes respectively. That’s a high output from a Heavyweight and Volkov is also excellent at controlling distance. In addition, Alexander also has a very solid ground game. His size and long limbs are difficult to deal with.
Werdum of course is the best Jiu-Jitsu practitioner in the UFC Heavyweight division. That said, if you take a look at his last 4 opponents, he hasn’t fought anyone with grappling skills as solid as Volkov’s. To me, that set’s this up to be primarily a stand-up fight. Fabricio has already proven he’s capable of hanging with the best strikers in the division. However, I see Alexander Volkov being the best stand-up fighter he’s fought since Stipe Miocic. That’s even with Werdum having fought both Alistair Overeem and Travis Browne in his last 4 fights. Volkov is in his prime, he’s not hesitant to pull the trigger, he’s very active, has great movement and range, and he’s in excellent shape.
Alexander Volkov is going to be a very tough fight for Fabricio Werdum. At 40 years of age, Werdum is still as dangerous as he’s always been. He may be even more dangerous today as he was 5 years ago. This is a different fight though, Volkov is the youngest, most versatile, and most talented fighter he’s faced in a while. I honestly view this fight as 50/50. Right now, the betting lines show Volkov around a +175 underdog. That’s understandable given the credential’s Werdum has but Volkov deserves more credit.
I won’t predict an upset yet
All that stated, it’s still tough to predict Volkov winning this fight. Werdum is the most elite opposition he’s faced so far. We have yet to see Alexander face the top Heavyweights in the division. Until we do, we won’t know how good he’s truly become. That is what makes this an even more intriguing fight though, it either sets Fabricio up for another title shot, or it presents us with a new Heavyweight top contender.